Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.668631 0.790615 0.923138 1.077143 1.250504 1.438939 1.658543
2025-04-27 0.469106 0.635051 0.833919 1.086462 1.395081 1.756355 2.207383
2025-05-04 0.334202 0.515539 0.753762 1.081174 1.510287 2.044039 2.747608
2025-05-11 0.237669 0.417124 0.674579 1.055009 1.585291 2.279829 3.237387
2025-05-18 0.179615 0.355886 0.629938 1.061408 1.694994 2.560776 3.798190
2025-05-25 0.131079 0.294852 0.571124 1.033890 1.747769 2.762185 4.259989
2025-06-01 0.102504 0.259199 0.543574 1.046094 1.854043 3.039584 4.836586
2025-06-08 0.078343 0.224014 0.508845 1.039442 1.927132 3.269672 5.354780
2025-06-15 0.066630 0.210947 0.510601 1.092321 2.095566 3.647749 6.102374
2025-06-22 0.054736 0.193383 0.499995 1.120838 2.224642 3.971142 6.782164
2025-06-29 0.041311 0.166741 0.465486 1.100247 2.267893 4.161649 7.268783
2025-07-06 0.033616 0.152487 0.454033 1.120731 2.381383 4.466677 7.940300
2025-07-13 0.026259 0.136324 0.435948 1.127714 2.474852 4.750014 8.600365
2025-07-20 0.020377 0.121972 0.419131 1.135226 2.570154 5.042288 9.289225
2025-07-27 0.015238 0.107044 0.397263 1.128818 2.638506 5.292592 9.921523
2025-08-03 0.010715 0.090966 0.367934 1.101353 2.663441 5.469075 10.440419
2025-08-10 0.008100 0.081491 0.354544 1.107793 2.753909 5.761788 11.159162
2025-08-17 0.005495 0.068979 0.328186 1.079263 2.771132 5.925171 11.667817
2025-08-24 0.004145 0.062576 0.319320 1.091848 2.872229 6.241151 12.441360
2025-08-31 0.002905 0.054928 0.303761 1.084955 2.931408 6.482933 13.096134
2025-09-07 0.002480 0.053751 0.311323 1.139616 3.125221 6.979105 14.201678
2025-09-14 0.001935 0.050388 0.309655 1.169087 3.265998 7.381868 15.157024
2025-09-21 0.001239 0.043283 0.290617 1.147805 3.293213 7.572495 15.748338